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INT Türkiye 1 Lig · Final ·

76 Igdir Belediyespor vs Fatih Karagumruk

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–0Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win46%
Draw24%
Away win29%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 46% selection probability
Prediction Won
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score2–176 Igdir BelediyesporFatih Karagumruk
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 24% / 29%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Double chance1275.5%1.32
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.86 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
76 Igdir Belediyespor win46%2.17
Draw24%4.17
Fatih Karagumruk win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

76 Igdir Belediyespor1.62

Home share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Fatih Karagumruk1.24

Away share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

76 Igdir Belediyespor

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Fatih Karagumruk

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
5
Points from supplied form
10
1.62
Expected goals
1.24
76 Igdir BelediyesporFatih Karagumruk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

0176 Igdir Belediyespor signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fatih Karagumruk signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

76 Igdir Belediyespor vs Fatih Karagumruk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

76 Igdir Belediyespor win 46%,Draw 24%,Fatih Karagumruk win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over