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INT Türkiye 1 Lig · Maç ·

76 Igdir Belediyespor vs Fatih Karagumruk

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.86 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır46%
Beraberlik24%
Deplasman kazanır29%
Baseline forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır46% selection probability
Projected score2–176 Igdir BelediyesporFatih Karagumruk
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst54% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
46% / 24% / 29%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Çifte Şans1275.5%1.32
Üst 54% · Alt 46%Goals 2.5Üst54%1.85
Evet 57% · Hayır 43%Karşılıklı gol varEvet57%1.75
2.86 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
8.8 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
76 Igdir Belediyespor win46%2.17
Beraberlik24%4.17
Fatih Karagumruk win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

76 Igdir Belediyespor1.62

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 54% · Alt 46%

Fatih Karagumruk1.24

Deplasman share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 57% · Hayır 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

76 Igdir Belediyespor

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Fatih Karagumruk

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
29%
5
Points from supplied form
10
1.62
Expected goals
1.24
76 Igdir BelediyesporFatih Karagumruk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

0176 Igdir Belediyespor signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fatih Karagumruk signalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

76 Igdir Belediyespor vs Fatih Karagumruk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

76 Igdir Belediyespor kazanç 46%,Beraberlik 24%,Fatih Karagumruk kazanç 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · 2.5 Üst 54% · Current selection Üst