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PRY Paraguay Division Intermedia · Fixture ·

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs 3 de Noviembre

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
Away form
Home win61%
Draw24%
Away win15%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Club Dr Benjamin Aceval3 de Noviembre
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
61% / 24% / 15%Match resultHome win61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 3 de Noviembre win (14.7%)Double chance1X85.3%1.17
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.69 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval win61%1.64
Draw24%4.17
3 de Noviembre win15%6.67

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval2.10

Home share of expected goals 78.1%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

3 de Noviembre0.59

Away share of expected goals 21.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

3 de Noviembre

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Win probability excluding draw
15%
6
Points from supplied form
2
2.10
Expected goals
0.59
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval3 de Noviembre
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Dr Benjamin Aceval signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

023 de Noviembre signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs 3 de Noviembre FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval win 61%,Draw 24%,3 de Noviembre win 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over