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INT Mexique - Ligue U21 · Match ·

Tijuana - U21 vs Leon - U21

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.40 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile40%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur31%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Tijuana - U21Leon - U21
Expected goals2.40Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
40% / 29% / 31%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Double chance1270.7%1.41
Plus de 43% · Moins de 57%Goals 2.5Moins de57%1.75
Oui 49% · Non 51%Les deux équipes marquentNon51%1.96
2.40 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapLeon - U21 winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tijuana - U21 win40%2.502.2540.4%-0.4 pp
Nul29%3.453.1029.3%-0.3 pp
Leon - U21 win31%3.233.0030.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tijuana - U211.23

Domicile share of expected goals 51.3%

Total expected goals2.40Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 43% · Moins de 57%

Leon - U211.17

Extérieur share of expected goals 48.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 49% · Non 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Tijuana - U21

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Leon - U21

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gagné probability excluding draw
31%
7
Points from supplied form
11
1.23
Expected goals
1.17
Tijuana - U21Leon - U21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tijuana - U21 signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leon - U21 signalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Tijuana - U21 vs Leon - U21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tijuana - U21 victoire 40%,Nul 29%,Leon - U21 victoire 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.40 · Plus de 2.5 43% · Current selection Moins de