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URY Uruguay Segunda · Match ·

Uruguay Montevideo vs Paysandu FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.49 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile37%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur35%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Uruguay MontevideoPaysandu FC
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
37% / 28% / 35%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Double chance1272.3%1.38
Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%Goals 2.5Moins de55%1.82
Oui 51% · Non 49%Les deux équipes marquentOui51%1.96
2.49 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapUruguay Montevideo winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Uruguay Montevideo win37%2.702.3837.8%-0.8 pp
Nul28%3.573.2527.7%+0.3 pp
Paysandu FC win35%2.862.6034.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Uruguay Montevideo1.19

Domicile share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%

Paysandu FC1.30

Extérieur share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 51% · Non 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Uruguay Montevideo

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Paysandu FC

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gagné probability excluding draw
35%
8
Points from supplied form
12
1.19
Expected goals
1.30
Uruguay MontevideoPaysandu FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Uruguay Montevideo signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paysandu FC signalDomicile unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Uruguay Montevideo vs Paysandu FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Uruguay Montevideo victoire 37%,Nul 28%,Paysandu FC victoire 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Plus de 2.5 45% · Current selection Moins de