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URY Uruguay Segunda · Partita ·

Uruguay Montevideo vs Paysandu FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.49 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa37%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite35%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Uruguay MontevideoPaysandu FC
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto55% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
37% / 28% / 35%Esito partitaVittoria casa37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Doppia Chance1272.3%1.38
Sopra 45% · Sotto 55%Goals 2.5Sotto55%1.82
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
2.49 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapUruguay Montevideo winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Uruguay Montevideo win37%2.702.3837.8%-0.8 pp
Pareggio28%3.573.2527.7%+0.3 pp
Paysandu FC win35%2.862.6034.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Uruguay Montevideo1.19

Casa share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 45% · Sotto 55%

Paysandu FC1.30

Trasferta share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Uruguay Montevideo

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Paysandu FC

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vinta probability excluding draw
35%
8
Points from supplied form
12
1.19
Expected goals
1.30
Uruguay MontevideoPaysandu FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Uruguay Montevideo signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paysandu FC signalCasa unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Uruguay Montevideo vs Paysandu FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Uruguay Montevideo vinta 37%,Pareggio 28%,Paysandu FC vinta 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Sopra 2.5 45% · Current selection Sotto