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ENG Angleterre - League 1 · Match ·

Plymouth vs Stockport

Archived pre-match prediction

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.33 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile44%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur30%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile44% selection probability
Projected score2–1PlymouthStockport
Expected goals3.33Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de65% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 26% / 30%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Double chance1273.9%1.35
Plus de 65% · Moins de 35%Goals 2.5Plus de65%1.54
Oui 65% · Non 35%Les deux équipes marquentOui65%1.54
3.33 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Plymouth win44%2.27
Nul26%3.85
Stockport win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Plymouth1.92

Domicile share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals3.33Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 65% · Moins de 35%

Stockport1.41

Extérieur share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 65% · Non 35%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Plymouth

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Stockport

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
30%
11
Points from supplied form
10
1.92
Expected goals
1.41
PlymouthStockport
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Plymouth signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stockport signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Plymouth vs Stockport FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Plymouth victoire 44%,Nul 26%,Stockport victoire 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Plus de 2.5 65% · Current selection Plus de