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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Final ·

Portuguesa Santista - U20 vs Sertaozinho FC - U20

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–0Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile44%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur29%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Portuguesa Santista - U20Sertaozinho FC - U20
Expected goals1.77Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de74% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 27% / 29%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)Double chance1273.1%1.37
Plus de 26% · Moins de 74%Goals 2.5Moins de74%1.35
Oui 32% · Non 68%Les deux équipes marquentNon68%1.47
1.77 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapSertaozinho FC - U20 winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Portuguesa Santista - U20 win44%2.272.0543.7%+0.3 pp
Nul27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
Sertaozinho FC - U20 win29%3.453.0029.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Portuguesa Santista - U201.17

Domicile share of expected goals 66.1%

Total expected goals1.77Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 26% · Moins de 74%

Sertaozinho FC - U200.60

Extérieur share of expected goals 33.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 32% · Non 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Portuguesa Santista - U20

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Sertaozinho FC - U20

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
29%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.17
Expected goals
0.60
Portuguesa Santista - U20Sertaozinho FC - U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Portuguesa Santista - U20 signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sertaozinho FC - U20 signalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Portuguesa Santista - U20 vs Sertaozinho FC - U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Portuguesa Santista - U20 victoire 44%,Nul 27%,Sertaozinho FC - U20 victoire 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.77 · Plus de 2.5 26% · Current selection Moins de