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INT Nouvelle-Zélande - Northern League · Match ·

Western Springs AFC vs Melville United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.44 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile57%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile57% selection probability
Projected score2–1Western Springs AFCMelville United
Expected goals3.44Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de67% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
57% / 22% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Melville United win (20.9%)Double chance1X79.1%1.26
Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%Goals 2.5Plus de67%1.49
Oui 59% · Non 41%Les deux équipes marquentOui59%1.69
3.44 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapWestern Springs AFC winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Western Springs AFC win57%1.751.6056.5%+0.5 pp
Nul22%4.554.1022%0.0 pp
Melville United win21%4.764.2021.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Western Springs AFC2.40

Domicile share of expected goals 69.8%

Total expected goals3.44Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%

Melville United1.04

Extérieur share of expected goals 30.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 59% · Non 41%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Western Springs AFC

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Melville United

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
4
Points from supplied form
4
2.40
Expected goals
1.04
Western Springs AFCMelville United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Western Springs AFC signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Melville United signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Western Springs AFC vs Melville United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Western Springs AFC victoire 57%,Nul 22%,Melville United victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.44 · Plus de 2.5 67% · Current selection Plus de