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INT 新西兰北部联赛 · 比賽 ·

西斯普林斯AFC vs 梅爾維爾聯

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–13.44 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝57%
22%
客勝21%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝57% selection probability
Projected score2–1西斯普林斯AFC梅爾維爾聯
Expected goals3.44初盤 match profile
Goals 2.567% for the selected side
雙方進球59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
57% / 22% / 21%比賽結果主勝57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 梅爾維爾聯 win (20.9%)雙重機會1X79.1%1.26
大 67% · 小 33%Goals 2.567%1.49
是 59% · 否 41%雙方進球59%1.69
3.44 total expected goals正確比分2–1
10.2 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gap西斯普林斯AFC winDifference+0.5 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
西斯普林斯AFC win57%1.751.6056.5%+0.5 pp
22%4.554.1022%0.0 pp
梅爾維爾聯 win21%4.764.2021.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

西斯普林斯AFC2.40

主隊 share of expected goals 69.8%

Total expected goals3.44初盤

Dedicated goals model: 67% · 33%

梅爾維爾聯1.04

客隊 share of expected goals 30.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 59% · 41%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

西斯普林斯AFC

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

客隊-context · form sequence

梅爾維爾聯

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
贏 probability excluding draw
21%
4
Points from supplied form
4
2.40
Expected goals
1.04
西斯普林斯AFC梅爾維爾聯
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01西斯普林斯AFC signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02梅爾維爾聯 signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

西斯普林斯AFC vs 梅爾維爾聯 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

西斯普林斯AFC 57%, 22%,梅爾維爾聯 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.44 · 大2.5 67% · Current selection