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NOR Norvège - Division 3 - Groupe 2 · Match ·

Melhus vs Orkla

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile73%
Nul15%
Victoire à l’extérieur12%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile73% selection probability
Projected score2–1MelhusOrkla
Expected goals3.19Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de62% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
73% / 15% / 12%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Orkla win (12.2%)Double chance1X87.8%1.14
Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%Goals 2.5Plus de62%1.61
Oui 56% · Non 44%Les deux équipes marquentOui56%1.79
3.19 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.7 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapMelhus winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Melhus win73%1.371.2273.6%-0.6 pp
Nul15%6.676.2514.4%+0.6 pp
Orkla win12%8.337.5012%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Melhus2.22

Domicile share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals3.19Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%

Orkla0.97

Extérieur share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 56% · Non 44%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Melhus

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Orkla

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalExtérieur unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Gagné probability excluding draw
12%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.22
Expected goals
0.97
MelhusOrkla
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Melhus signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Orkla signalExtérieur unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Melhus vs Orkla FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Melhus victoire 73%,Nul 15%,Orkla victoire 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Plus de 2.5 62% · Current selection Plus de