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NOR Норвегия - Дивизия 3 - Група 2 · Мач ·

Мелхус vs Оркла

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина73%
Равен15%
Победа за госта12%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина73% selection probability
Projected score2–1МелхусОркла
Expected goals3.19Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над62% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
73% / 15% / 12%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Оркла win (12.2%)Двоен шанс1X87.8%1.14
Над 62% · Под 38%Goals 2.5Над62%1.61
Да 56% · Не 44%И двата отбора да отбележатДа56%1.79
3.19 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.7 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapМелхус winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Мелхус win73%1.371.2273.6%-0.6 pp
Равен15%6.676.2514.4%+0.6 pp
Оркла win12%8.337.5012%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Мелхус2.22

Домакин share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals3.19Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 62% · Под 38%

Оркла0.97

Гост share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Не 44%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Мелхус

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Оркла

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalГост unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
12%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.22
Expected goals
0.97
МелхусОркла
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Мелхус signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Оркла signalГост unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Мелхус vs Оркла FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Мелхус печеливш 73%,Равен 15%,Оркла печеливш 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Над 2.5 62% · Current selection Над