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EST Estonie - Meistriliiga · Final ·

JK Trans Narva vs JK Nomme Kalju

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score0–2Pronostic 1–2
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile21%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur55%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur55% selection probability
Projected score1–2JK Trans NarvaJK Nomme Kalju
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
21% / 24% / 55%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Trans Narva win (21.2%)Double chanceX278.8%1.27
Plus de 43% · Moins de 57%Goals 2.5Moins de57%1.75
Oui 37% · Non 63%Les deux équipes marquentNon63%1.59
2.39 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
10.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapJK Trans Narva winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Trans Narva win21%4.764.0022.4%-1.4 pp
Nul24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
JK Nomme Kalju win55%1.821.6753.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Trans Narva0.56

Domicile share of expected goals 23.4%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 43% · Moins de 57%

JK Nomme Kalju1.83

Extérieur share of expected goals 76.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 37% · Non 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

JK Trans Narva

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

JK Nomme Kalju

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Gagné probability excluding draw
55%
6
Points from supplied form
8
0.56
Expected goals
1.83
JK Trans NarvaJK Nomme Kalju
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Trans Narva signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nomme Kalju signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

JK Trans Narva vs JK Nomme Kalju FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Trans Narva victoire 21%,Nul 24%,JK Nomme Kalju victoire 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Plus de 2.5 43% · Current selection Moins de