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EST Estland - Meistriliiga · Final ·

JK Narva Trans vs JK Nomme Kalju

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score0–2Prognose 1–2
Ude form
Hjemmesejr21%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr55%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr55% selection probability
Projected score1–2JK Narva TransJK Nomme Kalju
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
21% / 24% / 55%KampresultatUdesejr55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Narva Trans win (21.2%)DobbeltchanceX278.8%1.27
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Ja 37% · Nej 63%Begge hold scorerNej63%1.59
2.39 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapJK Narva Trans winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Narva Trans win21%4.764.0022.4%-1.4 pp
Uafgjort24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
JK Nomme Kalju win55%1.821.6753.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Narva Trans0.56

Hjemme share of expected goals 23.4%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%

JK Nomme Kalju1.83

Ude share of expected goals 76.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 37% · Nej 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

JK Narva Trans

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

JK Nomme Kalju

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Vundet probability excluding draw
55%
6
Points from supplied form
8
0.56
Expected goals
1.83
JK Narva TransJK Nomme Kalju
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Narva Trans signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nomme Kalju signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

JK Narva Trans vs JK Nomme Kalju FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Narva Trans vundet 21%,Uafgjort 24%,JK Nomme Kalju vundet 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under