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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Match ·

Ferrocarril Midland vs Deportivo Maipu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.99 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile49%
Nul30%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ferrocarril MidlandDeportivo Maipu
Expected goals1.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de68% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
49% / 30% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Maipu win (20.9%)Double chance1X79.1%1.26
Plus de 32% · Moins de 68%Goals 2.5Moins de68%1.47
Oui 38% · Non 62%Les deux équipes marquentNon62%1.61
1.99 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ferrocarril Midland win49%2.041.9149%0.0 pp
Nul30%3.333.1030.2%-0.2 pp
Deportivo Maipu win21%4.764.5020.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ferrocarril Midland1.24

Domicile share of expected goals 62.3%

Total expected goals1.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 32% · Moins de 68%

Deportivo Maipu0.75

Extérieur share of expected goals 37.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 38% · Non 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Ferrocarril Midland

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Deportivo Maipu

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
10
1.24
Expected goals
0.75
Ferrocarril MidlandDeportivo Maipu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ferrocarril Midland signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Maipu signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Ferrocarril Midland vs Deportivo Maipu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ferrocarril Midland victoire 49%,Nul 30%,Deportivo Maipu victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.99 · Plus de 2.5 32% · Current selection Moins de