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SCO Scotland Lowland League · Match ·

Cowdenbeath vs Broxburn Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.87 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile35%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur41%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur41% selection probability
Projected score2–2CowdenbeathBroxburn Athletic
Expected goals3.87Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de74% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
35% / 24% / 41%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Double chance1276.2%1.31
Plus de 74% · Moins de 26%Goals 2.5Plus de74%1.35
Oui 71% · Non 29%Les deux équipes marquentOui71%1.41
3.87 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
9.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapBroxburn Athletic winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cowdenbeath win35%2.862.7033.3%+1.7 pp
Nul24%4.173.7524%0.0 pp
Broxburn Athletic win41%2.442.1042.8%-1.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cowdenbeath2.37

Domicile share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals3.87Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 74% · Moins de 26%

Broxburn Athletic1.50

Extérieur share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 71% · Non 29%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Cowdenbeath

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Broxburn Athletic

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gagné probability excluding draw
41%
5
Points from supplied form
2
2.37
Expected goals
1.50
CowdenbeathBroxburn Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cowdenbeath signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Broxburn Athletic signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Cowdenbeath vs Broxburn Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cowdenbeath victoire 35%,Nul 24%,Broxburn Athletic victoire 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.87 · Plus de 2.5 74% · Current selection Plus de