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SWE Suède - 2.div Norra Götaland · Match ·

Ahlafors IF vs IF Karlstad II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.41 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile63%
Nul20%
Victoire à l’extérieur17%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ahlafors IFIF Karlstad II
Expected goals3.41Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de66% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
63% / 20% / 17%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IF Karlstad II win (16.8%)Double chance1X83.2%1.20
Plus de 66% · Moins de 34%Goals 2.5Plus de66%1.52
Oui 60% · Non 40%Les deux équipes marquentOui60%1.67
3.41 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ahlafors IF win63%1.591.4262.6%+0.4 pp
Nul20%5.004.3320.5%-0.5 pp
IF Karlstad II win17%5.885.2516.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ahlafors IF2.33

Domicile share of expected goals 68.3%

Total expected goals3.41Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 66% · Moins de 34%

IF Karlstad II1.08

Extérieur share of expected goals 31.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 60% · Non 40%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Ahlafors IF

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

IF Karlstad II

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Gagné probability excluding draw
17%
9
Points from supplied form
1
2.33
Expected goals
1.08
Ahlafors IFIF Karlstad II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ahlafors IF signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IF Karlstad II signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Ahlafors IF vs IF Karlstad II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ahlafors IF victoire 63%,Nul 20%,IF Karlstad II victoire 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.41 · Plus de 2.5 66% · Current selection Plus de