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SWE Schweden - 2. Division Norra Götaland · Spiel ·

Ahlafors IF vs IF Karlstad II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.41 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg63%
Unentschieden20%
Auswärtssieg17%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ahlafors IFIF Karlstad II
Expected goals3.41Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über66% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
63% / 20% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IF Karlstad II win (16.8%)Doppelte Chance1X83.2%1.20
Über 66% · Unter 34%Goals 2.5Über66%1.52
Ja 60% · Nein 40%Beide Teams treffenJa60%1.67
3.41 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ahlafors IF win63%1.591.4262.6%+0.4 pp
Unentschieden20%5.004.3320.5%-0.5 pp
IF Karlstad II win17%5.885.2516.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ahlafors IF2.33

Heim share of expected goals 68.3%

Total expected goals3.41Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 66% · Unter 34%

IF Karlstad II1.08

Auswärts share of expected goals 31.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nein 40%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Ahlafors IF

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

IF Karlstad II

0.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkte1

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
9
Points from supplied form
1
2.33
Expected goals
1.08
Ahlafors IFIF Karlstad II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ahlafors IF signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IF Karlstad II signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Ahlafors IF vs IF Karlstad II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ahlafors IF Gewinn 63%,Unentschieden 20%,IF Karlstad II Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.41 · Über 2.5 66% · Current selection Über