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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Final ·

Aguai - U20 vs Sao Paulo - U20

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score0–3Pronostic 1–3
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile7%
Nul12%
Victoire à l’extérieur80%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 80% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur80% selection probability
Projected score1–3Aguai - U20Sao Paulo - U20
Expected goals4.17Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de79% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
7% / 12% / 80%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur80%1.25
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aguai - U20 win (7.4%)Double chanceX292.6%1.08
Plus de 79% · Moins de 21%Goals 2.5Plus de79%1.27
Oui 50% · Non 50%Les deux équipes marquentOui50%2.00
4.17 total expected goalsScore exact1–3
9.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapAguai - U20 winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aguai - U20 win7%14.2912.007.8%-0.8 pp
Nul12%8.337.5012.4%-0.4 pp
Sao Paulo - U20 win80%1.251.1779.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aguai - U200.73

Domicile share of expected goals 17.5%

Total expected goals4.17Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 79% · Moins de 21%

Sao Paulo - U203.44

Extérieur share of expected goals 82.5%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitOui 50% · Non 50%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Aguai - U20

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Sao Paulo - U20

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
Gagné probability excluding draw
80%
4
Points from supplied form
9
0.73
Expected goals
3.44
Aguai - U20Sao Paulo - U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aguai - U20 signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Paulo - U20 signalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk20% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Aguai - U20 vs Sao Paulo - U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–3 · 80% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aguai - U20 victoire 7%,Nul 12%,Sao Paulo - U20 victoire 80%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.17 · Plus de 2.5 79% · Current selection Plus de