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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Final ·

Aguai U20 vs Sao Paulo U20

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score0–3Pronostico 1–3
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa7%
Pareggio12%
Vittoria ospite80%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 80% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite80% selection probability
Projected score1–3Aguai U20Sao Paulo U20
Expected goals4.17Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra79% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
7% / 12% / 80%Esito partitaVittoria ospite80%1.25
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aguai U20 win (7.4%)Doppia ChanceX292.6%1.08
Sopra 79% · Sotto 21%Goals 2.5Sopra79%1.27
Sì 50% · No 50%Entrambe le squadre segnano50%2.00
4.17 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–3
9.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapAguai U20 winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aguai U20 win7%14.2912.007.8%-0.8 pp
Pareggio12%8.337.5012.4%-0.4 pp
Sao Paulo U20 win80%1.251.1779.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aguai U200.73

Casa share of expected goals 17.5%

Total expected goals4.17Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 79% · Sotto 21%

Sao Paulo U203.44

Trasferta share of expected goals 82.5%

Projected score1–3BTTS split 50% · No 50%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Aguai U20

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Sao Paulo U20

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punti9

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
Vinta probability excluding draw
80%
4
Points from supplied form
9
0.73
Expected goals
3.44
Aguai U20Sao Paulo U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aguai U20 signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Paulo U20 signalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk20% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Aguai U20 vs Sao Paulo U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–3 · 80% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aguai U20 vinta 7%,Pareggio 12%,Sao Paulo U20 vinta 80%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.17 · Sopra 2.5 79% · Current selection Sopra