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ARG Argentina - Liga Profesional · Partido ·

Deportivo Riestra vs Vélez Sársfield

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.34 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local28%
Empate38%
Victoria visitante34%
Full model forecastEmpateTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEmpate38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo RiestraVélez Sársfield
Expected goals1.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de85% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo76% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
28% / 38% / 34%Resultado del partidoEmpate38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Riestra win (28.4%)Doble OportunidadX271.6%1.40
Más de 15% · Menos de 85%Goals 2.5Menos de85%1.18
Sí 24% · No 76%Ambos equipos marcanNo76%1.32
1.34 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Deportivo Riestra win28%3.57
Empate38%2.63
Vélez Sársfield win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Riestra0.61

Local share of expected goals 45.5%

Total expected goals1.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 15% · Menos de 85%

Vélez Sársfield0.73

Visitante share of expected goals 54.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 24% · No 76%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Deportivo Riestra

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Vélez Sársfield

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puntos9

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Ganado probability excluding draw
34%
5
Points from supplied form
9
0.61
Expected goals
0.73
Deportivo RiestraVélez Sársfield
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Riestra signalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vélez Sársfield signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 38%.

Match questions

Deportivo Riestra vs Vélez Sársfield FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Empate · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Riestra ganada 28%,Empate 38%,Vélez Sársfield ganada 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.34 · Más de 2.5 15% · Current selection Menos de