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ARG 阿根廷職業聯賽 · 比賽 ·

利斯特雷 vs 沙士菲

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–11.34 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝28%
38%
客勝34%
Full model forecastTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call38% selection probability
Projected score1–1利斯特雷沙士菲
Expected goals1.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.585% for the selected side
雙方進球76% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
28% / 38% / 34%比賽結果38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 利斯特雷 win (28.4%)雙重機會X271.6%1.40
大 15% · 小 85%Goals 2.585%1.18
是 24% · 否 76%雙方進球76%1.32
1.34 total expected goals正確比分1–1
8.6 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
利斯特雷 win28%3.57
38%2.63
沙士菲 win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

利斯特雷0.61

主隊 share of expected goals 45.5%

Total expected goals1.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 15% · 85%

沙士菲0.73

客隊 share of expected goals 54.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 24% · 76%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

利斯特雷

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

沙士菲

1.80pts / match
5Wins2Drawn3Losses0積分9

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
贏 probability excluding draw
34%
5
Points from supplied form
9
0.61
Expected goals
0.73
利斯特雷沙士菲
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01利斯特雷 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02沙士菲 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 38%.

Match questions

利斯特雷 vs 沙士菲 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

利斯特雷 28%, 38%,沙士菲 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.34 · 大2.5 15% · Current selection