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POL Polonia - III Liga · Partido ·

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Polaniec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–23.12 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local40%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante36%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local40% selection probability
Projected score2–2Siarka TarnobrzegCzarni Polaniec
Expected goals3.12Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de60% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
40% / 25% / 36%Resultado del partidoVictoria local40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Doble Oportunidad1275.1%1.33
Más de 60% · Menos de 40%Goals 2.5Más de60%1.67
Sí 63% · No 37%Ambos equipos marcan63%1.59
3.12 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–2
9.8 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapCzarni Polaniec winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Siarka Tarnobrzeg win40%2.502.2539.9%+0.1 pp
Empate25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Czarni Polaniec win36%2.782.5535.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg1.52

Local share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals3.12Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 60% · Menos de 40%

Czarni Polaniec1.60

Visitante share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 63% · No 37%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

0.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puntos2

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Czarni Polaniec

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Ganado probability excluding draw
36%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.52
Expected goals
1.60
Siarka TarnobrzegCzarni Polaniec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Siarka Tarnobrzeg signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Czarni Polaniec signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Polaniec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg ganada 40%,Empate 25%,Czarni Polaniec ganada 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Más de 2.5 60% · Current selection Más de