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POL Polska - 3. Liga · Mecz ·

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Połaniec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–23.12 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy40%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości36%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy40% selection probability
Projected score2–2Siarka TarnobrzegCzarni Połaniec
Expected goals3.12Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej60% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
40% / 25% / 36%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Podwójna szansa1275.1%1.33
Powyżej 60% · Poniżej 40%Goals 2.5Powyżej60%1.67
Tak 63% · Nie 37%Obie drużyny strzeląTak63%1.59
3.12 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–2
9.8 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapCzarni Połaniec winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Siarka Tarnobrzeg win40%2.502.2539.9%+0.1 pp
Remis25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Czarni Połaniec win36%2.782.5535.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg1.52

Gospodarze share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals3.12Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 60% · Poniżej 40%

Czarni Połaniec1.60

Goście share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitTak 63% · Nie 37%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

0.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkty2

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Czarni Połaniec

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGoście matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
36%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.52
Expected goals
1.60
Siarka TarnobrzegCzarni Połaniec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Siarka Tarnobrzeg signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Czarni Połaniec signalGoście matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Połaniec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg wygrana 40%,Remis 25%,Czarni Połaniec wygrana 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Powyżej 2.5 60% · Current selection Powyżej