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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Partido ·

Atlético Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.49 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local41%
Empate34%
Victoria visitante24%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atlético RafaelaChacarita Juniors
Expected goals1.49Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de81% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo74% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
41% / 34% / 24%Resultado del partidoVictoria local41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chacarita Juniors win (24.3%)Doble Oportunidad1X75.7%1.32
Más de 19% · Menos de 81%Goals 2.5Menos de81%1.23
Sí 26% · No 74%Ambos equipos marcanNo74%1.35
1.49 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapChacarita Juniors winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atlético Rafaela win41%2.442.3041%0.0 pp
Empate34%2.942.7534.3%-0.3 pp
Chacarita Juniors win24%4.173.8024.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atlético Rafaela0.97

Local share of expected goals 65.1%

Total expected goals1.49Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 19% · Menos de 81%

Chacarita Juniors0.52

Visitante share of expected goals 34.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 26% · No 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Atlético Rafaela

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Chacarita Juniors

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Ganado probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.97
Expected goals
0.52
Atlético RafaelaChacarita Juniors
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atlético Rafaela signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chacarita Juniors signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Atlético Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atlético Rafaela ganada 41%,Empate 34%,Chacarita Juniors ganada 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.49 · Más de 2.5 19% · Current selection Menos de