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SWE Σουηδία - Div 1 Norra · Αγώνας ·

Γιαρφάλα vs IF Κάρλσταντ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–23.01 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου17%
Ισοπαλία24%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου59%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου59% selection probability
Projected score1–2ΓιαρφάλαIF Κάρλσταντ
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω58% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
17% / 24% / 59%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Γιαρφάλα win (17.1%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX282.9%1.21
Άνω 58% · Κάτω 42%Goals 2.5Άνω58%1.72
Ναι 49% · Όχι 51%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι51%1.96
3.01 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–2
9.1 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Γιαρφάλα win17%5.88
Ισοπαλία24%4.17
IF Κάρλσταντ win59%1.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Γιαρφάλα0.78

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 25.9%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 58% · Κάτω 42%

IF Κάρλσταντ2.23

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 74.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitΝαι 49% · Όχι 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Γιαρφάλα

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

IF Κάρλσταντ

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
59%
4
Points from supplied form
10
0.78
Expected goals
2.23
ΓιαρφάλαIF Κάρλσταντ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Γιαρφάλα signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IF Κάρλσταντ signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Γιαρφάλα vs IF Κάρλσταντ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Γιαρφάλα νίκη 17%,Ισοπαλία 24%,IF Κάρλσταντ νίκη 59%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Άνω 2.5 58% · Current selection Άνω