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SWE Szwecja - Div 1 Norra · Mecz ·

FC Järfälla vs IF Karlstad

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–23.01 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy22%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości54%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości54% selection probability
Projected score1–2FC JärfällaIF Karlstad
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej58% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
22% / 24% / 54%Wynik meczuWygrana gości54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Järfälla win (21.9%)Podwójna szansaX278.1%1.28
Powyżej 58% · Poniżej 42%Goals 2.5Powyżej58%1.72
Tak 49% · Nie 51%Obie drużyny strzeląNie51%1.96
3.01 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
9.1 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFC Järfälla winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Järfälla win22%4.553.9023.1%-1.1 pp
Remis24%4.173.7524%0.0 pp
IF Karlstad win54%1.851.7052.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Järfälla0.78

Gospodarze share of expected goals 25.9%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 58% · Poniżej 42%

IF Karlstad2.23

Goście share of expected goals 74.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 49% · Nie 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

FC Järfälla

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

IF Karlstad

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
54%
4
Points from supplied form
10
0.78
Expected goals
2.23
FC JärfällaIF Karlstad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Järfälla signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IF Karlstad signalGoście unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FC Järfälla vs IF Karlstad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Järfälla wygrana 22%,Remis 24%,IF Karlstad wygrana 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Powyżej 2.5 58% · Current selection Powyżej