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BRA Brazil Serie C · Αγώνας ·

Ιτουάνο vs Μπάρα ΦΚ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου48%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου24%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου48% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΙτουάνοΜπάρα ΦΚ
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω55% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
48% / 29% / 24%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Μπάρα ΦΚ win (23.5%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X76.5%1.31
Άνω 45% · Κάτω 55%Goals 2.5Κάτω55%1.82
Ναι 51% · Όχι 49%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.9 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapΜπάρα ΦΚ winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ιτουάνο win48%2.081.8348.6%-0.6 pp
Ισοπαλία29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
Μπάρα ΦΚ win24%4.173.9022.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ιτουάνο1.31

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 45% · Κάτω 55%

Μπάρα ΦΚ1.17

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 51% · Όχι 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ιτουάνο

0.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Πόντοι2

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μπάρα ΦΚ

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
24%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
1.17
ΙτουάνοΜπάρα ΦΚ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ιτουάνο signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μπάρα ΦΚ signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Ιτουάνο vs Μπάρα ΦΚ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ιτουάνο νίκη 48%,Ισοπαλία 29%,Μπάρα ΦΚ νίκη 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Άνω 2.5 45% · Current selection Κάτω