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BRA Brazil Serie C · Final ·

Ituano vs Barra SC

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score2–0Prognose 1–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier48%
Uavgjort29%
Borteseier24%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Vunnet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier48% selection probability
Projected score1–1ItuanoBarra SC
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
48% / 29% / 24%KampresultatHjemmeseier48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Barra SC win (23.5%)Dobbel sjanse1X76.5%1.31
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Ja 51% · Nei 49%Begge lag scorerJa51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapBarra SC winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ituano win48%2.081.8348.6%-0.6 pp
Uavgjort29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
Barra SC win24%4.173.9022.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ituano1.31

Hjemme share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Barra SC1.17

Borte share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nei 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Ituano

0.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poeng2

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Barra SC

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
24%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
1.17
ItuanoBarra SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ituano signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barra SC signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Ituano vs Barra SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ituano vunnet 48%,Uavgjort 29%,Barra SC vunnet 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under