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ITA Italien - Serie C - Pokal · Spiel ·

Bari vs SSD Casarano Calcio

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg46%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg28%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg46% selection probability
Projected score1–1BariSSD Casarano Calcio
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
46% / 26% / 28%SpielergebnisHeimsieg46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Doppelte Chance1274%1.35
Über 47% · Unter 53%Goals 2.5Unter53%1.89
Ja 51% · Nein 49%Beide Teams treffenJa51%1.96
2.57 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.9 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Bari win46%2.17
Unentschieden26%3.85
SSD Casarano Calcio win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bari1.48

Heim share of expected goals 57.6%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 47% · Unter 53%

SSD Casarano Calcio1.09

Auswärts share of expected goals 42.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nein 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Bari

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

SSD Casarano Calcio

1.50pts / match
Gespielt2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Punkte3

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
28%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.48
Expected goals
1.09
BariSSD Casarano Calcio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bari signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SSD Casarano Calcio signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Bari vs SSD Casarano Calcio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bari Gewinn 46%,Unentschieden 26%,SSD Casarano Calcio Gewinn 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Über 2.5 47% · Current selection Unter