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ITA Taliansko - Serie C - Pohár · Zápas ·

Bari vs SSD Casarano Calcio

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich46%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostí28%
Baseline forecastVýhra domácichTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich46% selection probability
Projected score1–1BariSSD Casarano Calcio
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej53% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
46% / 26% / 28%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Dvojitá šanca1274%1.35
Viac 47% · Menej 53%Goals 2.5Menej53%1.89
Áno 51% · Nie 49%Oba tímy skórujúÁno51%1.96
2.57 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
8.9 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Bari win46%2.17
Remíza26%3.85
SSD Casarano Calcio win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bari1.48

Domáci share of expected goals 57.6%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 47% · Menej 53%

SSD Casarano Calcio1.09

Hostia share of expected goals 42.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 51% · Nie 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Bari

2.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

SSD Casarano Calcio

1.50pts / match
Odohrané2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Body3

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Výhra probability excluding draw
28%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.48
Expected goals
1.09
BariSSD Casarano Calcio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bari signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SSD Casarano Calcio signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Bari vs SSD Casarano Calcio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bari výhra 46%,Remíza 26%,SSD Casarano Calcio výhra 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Viac 2.5 47% · Current selection Menej