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ITA Italien - Serie C - Pokal · Final ·

AC Carpi vs US Pianese

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score3–2Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg45%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg26%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 45% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg45% selection probability
Projected score1–1AC CarpiUS Pianese
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter55% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
45% / 29% / 26%SpielergebnisHeimsieg45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes US Pianese win (26%)Doppelte Chance1X74%1.35
Über 45% · Unter 55%Goals 2.5Unter55%1.82
Ja 51% · Nein 49%Beide Teams treffenJa51%1.96
2.49 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AC Carpi win45%2.222.0045.1%
Unentschieden29%3.453.1029.1%
US Pianese win26%3.853.5025.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AC Carpi1.44

Heim share of expected goals 57.8%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 45% · Unter 55%

US Pianese1.05

Auswärts share of expected goals 42.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nein 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

AC Carpi

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

US Pianese

1.50pts / match
Gespielt2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Punkte3

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.44
Expected goals
1.05
AC CarpiUS Pianese
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AC Carpi signalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02US Pianese signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

AC Carpi vs US Pianese FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AC Carpi Gewinn 45%,Unentschieden 29%,US Pianese Gewinn 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Über 2.5 45% · Current selection Unter