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ITA Coppa Italia Serie C · Final ·

AC Carpi vs US Pianese

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score3–2Pronostico 1–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa45%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite26%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 45% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa45% selection probability
Projected score1–1AC CarpiUS Pianese
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto55% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
45% / 29% / 26%Esito partitaVittoria casa45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes US Pianese win (26%)Doppia Chance1X74%1.35
Sopra 45% · Sotto 55%Goals 2.5Sotto55%1.82
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
2.49 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AC Carpi win45%2.222.0045.1%
Pareggio29%3.453.1029.1%
US Pianese win26%3.853.5025.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AC Carpi1.44

Casa share of expected goals 57.8%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 45% · Sotto 55%

US Pianese1.05

Trasferta share of expected goals 42.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

AC Carpi

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

US Pianese

1.50pts / match
Giocate2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Punti3

SignalCasa clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vinta probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.44
Expected goals
1.05
AC CarpiUS Pianese
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AC Carpi signalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02US Pianese signalCasa clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

AC Carpi vs US Pianese FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AC Carpi vinta 45%,Pareggio 29%,US Pianese vinta 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Sopra 2.5 45% · Current selection Sotto