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ITA Italien - Serie C - Pokal · Final ·

Perugia vs Vis Pesaro

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score1–2Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg46%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg25%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 46% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg46% selection probability
Projected score1–1PerugiaVis Pesaro
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter55% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
46% / 29% / 25%SpielergebnisHeimsieg46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vis Pesaro win (24.8%)Doppelte Chance1X75.2%1.33
Über 45% · Unter 55%Goals 2.5Unter55%1.82
Ja 51% · Nein 49%Beide Teams treffenJa51%1.96
2.49 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Perugia win46%2.171.9546.4%
Unentschieden29%3.453.1029.2%
Vis Pesaro win25%4.003.7024.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Perugia1.46

Heim share of expected goals 58.6%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 45% · Unter 55%

Vis Pesaro1.03

Auswärts share of expected goals 41.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nein 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Perugia

1.00pts / match
Gespielt2Wins0Drawn2Losses0Punkte2

SignalHeim unbeaten 2/2

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Vis Pesaro

0.00pts / match
Gespielt4Wins0Drawn0Losses4Punkte0

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
25%
2
Points from supplied form
0
1.46
Expected goals
1.03
PerugiaVis Pesaro
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Perugia signalHeim unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vis Pesaro signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Perugia vs Vis Pesaro FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Perugia Gewinn 46%,Unentschieden 29%,Vis Pesaro Gewinn 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Über 2.5 45% · Current selection Unter