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CHL Chile - Tercera · Spiel ·

Deportes Rancagua vs CD Constitución Unido

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.17 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg43%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg31%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Deportes RancaguaCD Constitución Unido
Expected goals3.17Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über61% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
43% / 26% / 31%SpielergebnisHeimsieg43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Doppelte Chance1273.8%1.36
Über 61% · Unter 39%Goals 2.5Über61%1.64
Ja 63% · Nein 37%Beide Teams treffenJa63%1.59
3.17 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.6 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportes Rancagua win43%2.332.1042.7%+0.3 pp
Unentschieden26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
CD Constitución Unido win31%3.232.9030.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportes Rancagua1.74

Heim share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals3.17Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 61% · Unter 39%

CD Constitución Unido1.43

Auswärts share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nein 37%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Deportes Rancagua

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

CD Constitución Unido

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.74
Expected goals
1.43
Deportes RancaguaCD Constitución Unido
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportes Rancagua signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Constitución Unido signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Deportes Rancagua vs CD Constitución Unido FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportes Rancagua Gewinn 43%,Unentschieden 26%,CD Constitución Unido Gewinn 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.17 · Über 2.5 61% · Current selection Über