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COL Kolumbien - U19-Meisterschaft · Spiel ·

Envigado U19 vs Belén Arco Zaragoza U19

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–13.36 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg64%
Unentschieden20%
Auswärtssieg16%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg64% selection probability
Projected score3–1Envigado U19Belén Arco Zaragoza U19
Expected goals3.36Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über65% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
64% / 20% / 16%SpielergebnisHeimsieg64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Belén Arco Zaragoza U19 win (16.1%)Doppelte Chance1X83.9%1.19
Über 65% · Unter 35%Goals 2.5Über65%1.54
Ja 50% · Nein 50%Beide Teams treffenNein50%2.00
3.36 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
10.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapEnvigado U19 winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Envigado U19 win64%1.561.4262.6%+1.4 pp
Unentschieden20%5.004.3320.5%-0.5 pp
Belén Arco Zaragoza U19 win16%6.255.2516.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Envigado U192.59

Heim share of expected goals 77.1%

Total expected goals3.36Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 65% · Unter 35%

Belén Arco Zaragoza U190.77

Auswärts share of expected goals 22.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nein 50%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Envigado U19

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Belén Arco Zaragoza U19

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
16%
13
Points from supplied form
7
2.59
Expected goals
0.77
Envigado U19Belén Arco Zaragoza U19
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Envigado U19 signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Belén Arco Zaragoza U19 signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Envigado U19 vs Belén Arco Zaragoza U19 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Envigado U19 Gewinn 64%,Unentschieden 20%,Belén Arco Zaragoza U19 Gewinn 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.36 · Über 2.5 65% · Current selection Über