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COL Colombia - Campeonato sub-19 · Partido ·

Envigado sub-19 vs Belén la Nubia Arco Zaragoza sub-19

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score3–13.37 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local64%
Empate20%
Victoria visitante16%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local64% selection probability
Projected score3–1Envigado sub-19Belén la Nubia Arco Zaragoza sub-19
Expected goals3.37Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de65% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
64% / 20% / 16%Resultado del partidoVictoria local64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Belén la Nubia Arco Zaragoza sub-19 win (16.1%)Doble Oportunidad1X83.9%1.19
Más de 65% · Menos de 35%Goals 2.5Más de65%1.54
Sí 50% · No 50%Ambos equipos marcanNo50%2.00
3.37 total expected goalsMarcador exacto3–1
10.2 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapEnvigado sub-19 winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Envigado sub-19 win64%1.561.4262.6%+1.4 pp
Empate20%5.004.3320.5%-0.5 pp
Belén la Nubia Arco Zaragoza sub-19 win16%6.255.2516.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Envigado sub-192.61

Local share of expected goals 77.4%

Total expected goals3.37Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 65% · Menos de 35%

Belén la Nubia Arco Zaragoza sub-190.76

Visitante share of expected goals 22.6%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 50% · No 50%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Envigado sub-19

2.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puntos13

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Belén la Nubia Arco Zaragoza sub-19

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Ganado probability excluding draw
16%
13
Points from supplied form
7
2.61
Expected goals
0.76
Envigado sub-19Belén la Nubia Arco Zaragoza sub-19
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Envigado sub-19 signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Belén la Nubia Arco Zaragoza sub-19 signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Envigado sub-19 vs Belén la Nubia Arco Zaragoza sub-19 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 3–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Envigado sub-19 ganada 64%,Empate 20%,Belén la Nubia Arco Zaragoza sub-19 ganada 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.37 · Más de 2.5 65% · Current selection Más de