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AME Copa Sudamericana · Spiel ·

Santos vs Macara

Archived pre-match prediction

Heim form
Projected score2–12.39 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg64%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg15%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 64% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg64% selection probability
Projected score2–1SantosMacara
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter57% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
64% / 21% / 15%SpielergebnisHeimsieg64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Macara win (15.2%)Doppelte Chance1X84.8%1.18
Über 43% · Unter 57%Goals 2.5Unter57%1.75
Ja 44% · Nein 56%Beide Teams treffenNein56%1.79
2.39 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santos win64%1.561.4065.5%
Unentschieden21%4.764.5020.4%
Macara win15%6.676.5014.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santos1.62

Heim share of expected goals 67.8%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 43% · Unter 57%

Macara0.77

Auswärts share of expected goals 32.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nein 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Santos

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Macara

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
15%
10
Points from supplied form
12
1.62
Expected goals
0.77
SantosMacara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santos signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Macara signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Santos vs Macara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santos Gewinn 64%,Unentschieden 21%,Macara Gewinn 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Über 2.5 43% · Current selection Unter