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AME Copa Sudamericana · Meci ·

Santos vs Macara

Archived pre-match prediction

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.39 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde64%
Egal21%
Victorie oaspeți15%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 64% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde64% selection probability
Projected score2–1SantosMacara
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub57% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
64% / 21% / 15%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Macara win (15.2%)Șansă dublă1X84.8%1.18
Peste 43% · Sub 57%Goals 2.5Sub57%1.75
Da 44% · Nu 56%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu56%1.79
2.39 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santos win64%1.561.4065.5%
Egal21%4.764.5020.4%
Macara win15%6.676.5014.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santos1.62

Gazde share of expected goals 67.8%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 43% · Sub 57%

Macara0.77

Oaspeți share of expected goals 32.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 44% · Nu 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Santos

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Macara

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Câștig probability excluding draw
15%
10
Points from supplied form
12
1.62
Expected goals
0.77
SantosMacara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santos signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Macara signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Santos vs Macara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santos câștig 64%,Egal 21%,Macara câștig 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Peste 2.5 43% · Current selection Sub