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INT Australien - NPL Victoria · Spiel ·

Heidelberg Utd vs Hume City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–22.88 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg33%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg40%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg40% selection probability
Projected score1–2Heidelberg UtdHume City
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über55% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
33% / 28% / 40%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Doppelte Chance1272.3%1.38
Über 55% · Unter 45%Goals 2.5Über55%1.82
Ja 58% · Nein 42%Beide Teams treffenJa58%1.72
2.88 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
10.3 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Heidelberg Utd win33%3.03
Unentschieden28%3.57
Hume City win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Heidelberg Utd1.32

Heim share of expected goals 45.8%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 55% · Unter 45%

Hume City1.56

Auswärts share of expected goals 54.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 58% · Nein 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Heidelberg Utd

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Hume City

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
40%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.32
Expected goals
1.56
Heidelberg UtdHume City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Heidelberg Utd signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hume City signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Heidelberg Utd vs Hume City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Heidelberg Utd Gewinn 33%,Unentschieden 28%,Hume City Gewinn 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Über 2.5 55% · Current selection Über