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INT Australie - NPL Victoria · Match ·

Heidelberg Utd vs Hume City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.88 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile33%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur40%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur40% selection probability
Projected score1–2Heidelberg UtdHume City
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
33% / 28% / 40%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Double chance1272.3%1.38
Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%Goals 2.5Plus de55%1.82
Oui 58% · Non 42%Les deux équipes marquentOui58%1.72
2.88 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
10.3 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Heidelberg Utd win33%3.03
Nul28%3.57
Hume City win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Heidelberg Utd1.32

Domicile share of expected goals 45.8%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%

Hume City1.56

Extérieur share of expected goals 54.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 58% · Non 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Heidelberg Utd

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Hume City

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gagné probability excluding draw
40%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.32
Expected goals
1.56
Heidelberg UtdHume City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Heidelberg Utd signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hume City signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Heidelberg Utd vs Hume City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Heidelberg Utd victoire 33%,Nul 28%,Hume City victoire 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Plus de 2.5 55% · Current selection Plus de