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ENG England - National League South · Spiel ·

Weston Super Mare vs Chesham

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.18 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg41%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg31%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Weston Super MareChesham
Expected goals2.18Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter63% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
41% / 28% / 31%SpielergebnisHeimsieg41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Doppelte Chance1271.8%1.39
Über 37% · Unter 63%Goals 2.5Unter63%1.59
Ja 44% · Nein 56%Beide Teams treffenNein56%1.79
2.18 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.2 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapWeston Super Mare winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Weston Super Mare win41%2.442.2040.8%+0.2 pp
Unentschieden28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
Chesham win31%3.232.8831.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Weston Super Mare1.20

Heim share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals2.18Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 37% · Unter 63%

Chesham0.98

Auswärts share of expected goals 45%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nein 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Weston Super Mare

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Chesham

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.20
Expected goals
0.98
Weston Super MareChesham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Weston Super Mare signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chesham signalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Weston Super Mare vs Chesham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Weston Super Mare Gewinn 41%,Unentschieden 28%,Chesham Gewinn 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.18 · Über 2.5 37% · Current selection Unter