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ENG Engeland - National League South · Wedstrijd ·

Weston Super Mare vs Chesham

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.18 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst41%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst31%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Weston Super MareChesham
Expected goals2.18Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
41% / 28% / 31%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Dubbele Kans1271.8%1.39
Boven 37% · Onder 63%Goals 2.5Onder63%1.59
Ja 44% · Nee 56%Beide teams scorenNee56%1.79
2.18 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapWeston Super Mare winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Weston Super Mare win41%2.442.2040.8%+0.2 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
Chesham win31%3.232.8831.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Weston Super Mare1.20

Thuis share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals2.18Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 37% · Onder 63%

Chesham0.98

Uit share of expected goals 45%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nee 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Weston Super Mare

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Chesham

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.20
Expected goals
0.98
Weston Super MareChesham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Weston Super Mare signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chesham signalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Weston Super Mare vs Chesham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Weston Super Mare gewonnen 41%,Gelijkspel 28%,Chesham gewonnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.18 · Boven 2.5 37% · Current selection Onder