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INT Bulgaria Second League · Spiel ·

Vihren Sandanski vs Chernomorets Burgas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg42%
Unentschieden31%
Auswärtssieg28%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Vihren SandanskiChernomorets Burgas
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter62% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
42% / 31% / 28%SpielergebnisHeimsieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chernomorets Burgas win (27.8%)Doppelte Chance1X72.2%1.39
Über 38% · Unter 62%Goals 2.5Unter62%1.61
Ja 43% · Nein 57%Beide Teams treffenNein57%1.75
2.19 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Vihren Sandanski win42%2.38
Unentschieden31%3.23
Chernomorets Burgas win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vihren Sandanski1.30

Heim share of expected goals 59.4%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 38% · Unter 62%

Chernomorets Burgas0.89

Auswärts share of expected goals 40.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nein 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Vihren Sandanski

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Chernomorets Burgas

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
28%
11
Points from supplied form
8
1.30
Expected goals
0.89
Vihren SandanskiChernomorets Burgas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vihren Sandanski signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chernomorets Burgas signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Vihren Sandanski vs Chernomorets Burgas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vihren Sandanski Gewinn 42%,Unentschieden 31%,Chernomorets Burgas Gewinn 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Über 2.5 38% · Current selection Unter