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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Final ·

SK Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score1–0Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg58%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg17%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg58% selection probability
Projected score2–1SK Sturm GrazSCR Altach
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter55% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
58% / 25% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SCR Altach win (17.1%)Doppelte Chance1X82.9%1.21
Über 45% · Unter 55%Goals 2.5Unter55%1.82
Ja 45% · Nein 55%Beide Teams treffenNein55%1.82
2.49 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SK Sturm Graz win58%1.721.6258.1%-0.1 pp
Unentschieden25%4.003.8024.8%+0.2 pp
SCR Altach win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SK Sturm Graz1.69

Heim share of expected goals 67.9%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 45% · Unter 55%

SCR Altach0.80

Auswärts share of expected goals 32.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nein 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

SK Sturm Graz

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

SCR Altach

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.69
Expected goals
0.80
SK Sturm GrazSCR Altach
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SK Sturm Graz signalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SCR Altach signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

SK Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SK Sturm Graz Gewinn 58%,Unentschieden 25%,SCR Altach Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Über 2.5 45% · Current selection Unter