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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Final ·

SK Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–0Prognose 2–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr58%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr17%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr58% selection probability
Projected score2–1SK Sturm GrazSCR Altach
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
58% / 25% / 17%KampresultatHjemmesejr58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SCR Altach win (17.1%)Dobbeltchance1X82.9%1.21
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Begge hold scorerNej55%1.82
2.49 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SK Sturm Graz win58%1.721.6258.1%-0.1 pp
Uafgjort25%4.003.8024.8%+0.2 pp
SCR Altach win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SK Sturm Graz1.69

Hjemme share of expected goals 67.9%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

SCR Altach0.80

Ude share of expected goals 32.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

SK Sturm Graz

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

SCR Altach

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Vundet probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.69
Expected goals
0.80
SK Sturm GrazSCR Altach
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SK Sturm Graz signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SCR Altach signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

SK Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SK Sturm Graz vundet 58%,Uafgjort 25%,SCR Altach vundet 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under