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Bolton vs Preston

Archived pre-match prediction

Heim form
Projected score1–12.58 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg42%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg32%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg42% selection probability
Projected score1–1BoltonPreston
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter52% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
42% / 26% / 32%SpielergebnisHeimsieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Doppelte Chance1273.7%1.36
Über 48% · Unter 52%Goals 2.5Unter52%1.92
Ja 52% · Nein 48%Beide Teams treffenJa52%1.92
2.58 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.8 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Bolton win42%2.38
Unentschieden26%3.85
Preston win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bolton1.39

Heim share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 48% · Unter 52%

Preston1.19

Auswärts share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nein 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Bolton

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Preston

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.39
Expected goals
1.19
BoltonPreston
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bolton signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Preston signalHeim unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Bolton vs Preston FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bolton Gewinn 42%,Unentschieden 26%,Preston Gewinn 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Über 2.5 48% · Current selection Unter