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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

Südtirol vs Virtus Verona

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score1–0Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg76%
Unentschieden16%
Auswärtssieg8%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 76% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg76% selection probability
Projected score2–1SüdtirolVirtus Verona
Expected goals3.36Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über66% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
76% / 16% / 8%SpielergebnisHeimsieg76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Virtus Verona win (8.3%)Doppelte Chance1X91.7%1.09
Über 66% · Unter 34%Goals 2.5Über66%1.52
Ja 62% · Nein 38%Beide Teams treffenJa62%1.61
3.36 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Südtirol win76%1.321.1777.8%
Unentschieden16%6.256.0015.2%
Virtus Verona win8%12.5013.007%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Südtirol2.33

Heim share of expected goals 69.3%

Total expected goals3.36Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 66% · Unter 34%

Virtus Verona1.03

Auswärts share of expected goals 30.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 62% · Nein 38%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Südtirol

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Virtus Verona

0.33pts / match
Gespielt3Wins0Drawn1Losses2Punkte1

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
76%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
8%
8
Points from supplied form
1
2.33
Expected goals
1.03
SüdtirolVirtus Verona
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Südtirol signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Virtus Verona signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Südtirol vs Virtus Verona FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Südtirol Gewinn 76%,Unentschieden 16%,Virtus Verona Gewinn 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.36 · Über 2.5 66% · Current selection Über