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LVA Lettland - Virsliga · Round 26 ·

Riga FC vs Ogre United

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.10 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg86%
Unentschieden10%
Auswärtssieg4%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 86% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg86% selection probability
Projected score2–1Riga FCOgre United
Expected goals3.10Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über62% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
86% / 10% / 4%SpielergebnisHeimsieg86%1.16
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ogre United win (4.2%)Doppelte Chance1X95.8%1.04
Über 62% · Unter 38%Goals 2.5Über62%1.61
Ja 54% · Nein 46%Beide Teams treffenJa54%1.85
3.10 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Riga FC win86%1.161.0688.3%
Unentschieden10%10.0011.008.5%
Ogre United win4%25.0029.003.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Riga FC2.31

Heim share of expected goals 74.5%

Total expected goals3.10Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 62% · Unter 38%

Ogre United0.79

Auswärts share of expected goals 25.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nein 46%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Riga FC

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Ogre United

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
86%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
4%
12
Points from supplied form
7
2.31
Expected goals
0.79
Riga FCOgre United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Riga FC signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ogre United signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk14% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 10%.

Match questions

Riga FC vs Ogre United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 86% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Riga FC Gewinn 86%,Unentschieden 10%,Ogre United Gewinn 4%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Über 2.5 62% · Current selection Über