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Sirius vs Malmö FF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–24.78 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg52%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg24%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg52% selection probability
Projected score3–2SiriusMalmö FF
Expected goals4.78Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über86% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa79% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
52% / 24% / 24%SpielergebnisHeimsieg52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Doppelte Chance1276.3%1.31
Über 86% · Unter 14%Goals 2.5Über86%1.16
Ja 79% · Nein 21%Beide Teams treffenJa79%1.27
4.78 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–2
10.5 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.2%Largest probability gapSirius winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sirius win52%1.921.8050.9%+1.1 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.7524.4%-0.4 pp
Malmö FF win24%4.173.7024.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sirius3.04

Heim share of expected goals 63.6%

Total expected goals4.78Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 86% · Unter 14%

Malmö FF1.74

Auswärts share of expected goals 36.4%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 79% · Nein 21%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Sirius

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Malmö FF

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
6
3.04
Expected goals
1.74
SiriusMalmö FF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sirius signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Malmö FF signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Sirius vs Malmö FF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sirius Gewinn 52%,Unentschieden 24%,Malmö FF Gewinn 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.78 · Über 2.5 86% · Current selection Über